CREDIT ORACLE

Prediction market for credit ratings. Per-agency odds. Implied ratings from derivative analysis. Quarterly settlement.

ENTITIES
36
ACTIVE MARKETS
12
TOTAL VOLUME
$995K
NEXT SETTLEMENT
Q2 2026
TICKER
NAME
TYPE
MOODY'S
S&P
IMPLIED RATING
VOLUME
DG ODDS
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
BBB-
$189K
8%
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
BDC
Baa2
BBB
NO DATA
—
—
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
BBB-
$94K
14%
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
BBB-
$89K
—
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
BDC
Baa2
BBB
NO DATA
—
—
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
PSEC
Prospect Capital Corporation
BDC
NR
NR
BB
$211K
31%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
TRIN
Trinity Capital Inc
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corporation
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp
BDC
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
FDUS
Fidus Investment Capital Inc
BDC
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
NMFC
New Mountain Finance Corporation
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
ORCC
Owl Rock Capital Corporation
BDC
Baa3
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC Inc
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
SAR
Saratoga Investment Corp
BDC
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp
BDC
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
BBDC
Barings BDC Inc
BDC
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
CCLFX
Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund
Interval Fund
NR
NR
B+
$413K
—
BCRED
Blackstone Private Credit Fund
Interval Fund
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
ICMBX
Pimco Flexible Credit Income Fund
Interval Fund
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
PTY
PIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund
CEF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
PDI
PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund
CEF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
GOF
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund
CEF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
OXLC
Oxford Lane Capital Corp
CEF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
ECC
Eagle Point Credit Company
CEF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Credit ETF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
JNK
SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
Credit ETF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
JAAA
Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF
Credit ETF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
BIZD
VanEck BDC Income ETF
Credit ETF
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
STWD
Starwood Property Trust
Credit REIT
NR
BBB-
NO DATA
—
—
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust
Credit REIT
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
NLY
Annaly Capital Management
Credit REIT
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp
Credit REIT
NR
NR
NO DATA
—
—

HOTTEST MARKETS

CCLFXQ2 2026
Will CCLFX gate redemptions by Q2 2026?
Vol: $235K
CCLFXQ2 2026
Will CCLFX NAV drop >10% by Q2 2026?
Vol: $178K
PSECQ2 2026
Will Moody's downgrade PSEC by Q2 2026?
Vol: $112K
PSECQ2 2026
Will S&P downgrade PSEC by Q2 2026?
Vol: $99K
FSKQ3 2026
Will FSK cut its dividend by Q3 2026?
Vol: $89K
ARCCQ4 2026
Which agency will first downgrade ARCC by Q4 2026?
Vol: $68K
LIVE TRADE FEED
CCLFX500 @ 38¢
7h ago
Will CCLFX gate redemptions by Q2 2026?
YES 7xKXt...9fPmNO 3nQzR...4kWv
CCLFX200 @ 39¢
7h ago
Will CCLFX gate redemptions by Q2 2026?
YES 9pLmS...2hXnNO 5wRtY...8jFq
ARCC1000 @ 8¢
8h ago
Will Moody's downgrade ARCC by Q2 2026?
YES 2mNpK...6gBcNO 7xKXt...9fPm
PSEC300 @ 31¢
8h ago
Will Moody's downgrade PSEC by Q2 2026?
YES 3nQzR...4kWvNO 9pLmS...2hXn
OBDC750 @ 14¢
8h ago
Will Moody's downgrade OBDC by Q2 2026?
YES 5wRtY...8jFqNO 2mNpK...6gBc
CCLFX400 @ 29¢
9h ago
Will CCLFX NAV drop >10% by Q2 2026?
YES 7xKXt...9fPmNO 9pLmS...2hXn
FSK600 @ 22¢
9h ago
Will FSK cut its dividend by Q3 2026?
YES 3nQzR...4kWvNO 5wRtY...8jFq
ARCC1500 @ 6¢
10h ago
Will S&P downgrade ARCC by Q2 2026?
YES 2mNpK...6gBcNO 3nQzR...4kWv
CCLFX350 @ 37¢
11h ago
Will CCLFX gate redemptions by Q2 2026?
YES 5wRtY...8jFqNO 7xKXt...9fPm
PSEC800 @ 27¢
11h ago
Will S&P downgrade PSEC by Q2 2026?
YES 9pLmS...2hXnNO 2mNpK...6gBc