CREDIT ORACLE

Prediction market for credit ratings. Per-agency odds. Implied ratings from derivative analysis. Quarterly settlement.

ENTITIES
40
ACTIVE MARKETS
31
TOTAL VOLUME
$0
NEXT SETTLEMENT
Q2 2026
TICKER
NAME
MOODY'S
S&P
FITCH
P/BOOK
DISC
DG ODDS
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
BBB
BBB
BBB
0.88x
-12%
25%
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation
BBB-
BBB
BBB
0.90x
-10%
22%
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
BBB
BBB
NR
—
—
—
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital Corporation
BBB
BBB-
BBB-
0.75x
-25%
18%
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc
BBB-
BBB-
NR
0.83x
-17%
—
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
BBB-
BBB-
NR
0.72x
-28%
—
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp
Ba1
BBB-
BBB-
0.48x
-52%
100%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance Corporation
BBB-
BBB-
NR
0.67x
-33%
—
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
NR
BBB-
NR
0.68x
-32%
—
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty Lending
NR
NR
NR
1.05x
+5%
—
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc
NR
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
ORCC
Owl Rock Capital Corporation
BBB-
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC Inc
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
TRIN
Trinity Capital Inc
NR
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corporation
NR
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
FDUS
Fidus Investment Capital Inc
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
BBDC
Barings BDC Inc
NR
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
SAR
Saratoga Investment Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
PSEC
Prospect Capital Corporation
BBB-
BB+
NR
—
—
50%
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
WHF
WhiteHorse Finance Inc
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
OXSQ
Oxford Square Capital Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
CCLFX
Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund
NR
NR
NR
—
—
0%
BCRED
Blackstone Private Credit Fund
NR
NR
NR
1.00x
0%
—
ICMBX
Pimco Flexible Credit Income Fund
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
PTY
PIMCO Corporate & Income Opportunity Fund
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
PDI
PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
GOF
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
OXLC
Oxford Lane Capital Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
ECC
Eagle Point Credit Company
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
JNK
SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
JAAA
Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
BIZD
VanEck BDC Income ETF
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
STWD
Starwood Property Trust
NR
BBB-
NR
—
—
—
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
NLY
Annaly Capital Management
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp
NR
NR
NR
—
—
—

HOTTEST MARKETS

FSKQ2 2026
Will S&P downgrade FSK by Q2 2026?
YES 95¢NO 15¢
Vol: $0
CCLFXQ2 2026
Will CCLFX gate redemptions by Q2 2026?
YES 85¢NO 28¢
Vol: $0
FSKQ2 2026
Will Fitch downgrade FSK by Q2 2026?
YES 75¢NO 40¢
Vol: $0
CCLFXQ2 2026
Will CCLFX NAV drop >10% by Q2 2026?
YES 70¢NO 45¢
Vol: $0
PSECQ2 2026
Will Moody's downgrade PSEC by Q2 2026?
YES 50¢NO 65¢
Vol: $0
BCREDQ4 2026
Will BCRED NAV drop >10% by Q4 2026?
YES 50¢NO 65¢
Vol: $0
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